Joe Biden is likely to lose the 2024 Presidential election regardless of who the Republican candidate is, according to recent poll findings. In a potential contest against Donald Trump, Biden is falling behind in several key states. A Wall Street Journal in December placed Trump ahead at 47% to Biden’s 43%, and an Emerson College survey conducted over the same period shows the same outcome – 47% for Trump and 43% for President Biden.
When pitted against Floridian Governor Ron DeSantis, Biden also performs poorly. The Wall Street Journal survey places both candidates at 45%, and in a Harris X/The Messenger poll, DeSantis beats the President by 51% to 49%.
Similar results were shown when Biden theoretically competed against former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley. In the Wall Street Journal survey, Haley beats President Biden by a staggering 17%. The Republican received 51% of the vote in that poll, compared to just 34% for President Biden. A Harris X/The Messenger also results in a Haley victory, showing her 55% ahead of Biden’s 45%.
Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley has enjoyed a recent boost in the primary polls, and in some states, including New Hampshire, she has edged ahead of Ron DeSantis. Haley also won the recent endorsement of New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu and several wealthy backers – some of whom supported President Biden in 2020.
Governor Ron DeSantis’s campaign has failed to take off as many had hoped, and he remains steady in the polls or has fallen. Trump is still the firm favorite, with double-digit leads in all surveys. In the Democrat primaries, where Biden faces little competition, he leads second place self-help guru Marianne Williamson by dozens of points. In December, a Monmouth University Polling Institute placed him at 79% to Williamson’s 9%.
Some political analysts suggest that while a Trump-Biden rematch looks inevitable, there could be surprises in store as Democrats are increasingly uneasy about President Biden’s chances and legal problems loom for President Trump.