“Deal DONE!” – But Who Really Won?

President Donald Trump has declared a sweeping new trade agreement with China that hikes tariffs and locks in American access to critical rare earth minerals.

At a Glance

  • Trump announced the trade deal as “done,” pending bilateral ratification.
  • U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports will rise to 55%; China will impose 10% on U.S. goods.
  • China has agreed to deliver rare earth minerals upfront as part of the pact.
  • The deal preserves access for Chinese students to U.S. higher education.
  • Negotiations follow a Geneva framework and recent talks in London.

Tariffs Rise, But So Do U.S. Strategic Gains

President Trump unveiled a new trade pact with China after a 90-minute call with President Xi Jinping, signaling a major shift in U.S.-China trade dynamics. Under the deal, U.S. tariffs will surge to 55% on Chinese imports, while China’s counter-tariffs will be limited to 10% on U.S. goods. Trump hailed the agreement as a return to “reciprocal terms,” citing concerns over previous asymmetrical trade impacts.

Watch a report: China, rare earths, and the new Trump deal.

Of particular note is China’s commitment to provide upfront access to rare earth minerals—resources essential to defense, clean energy, and high-tech manufacturing. China processes over 80% of the world’s rare earths, making this concession a significant strategic victory for U.S. industry.

Educational Access and Political Optics

While the agreement takes a hard line on trade, it simultaneously softens rhetoric around academic exchange. Trump affirmed that Chinese students will retain access to U.S. universities, reversing earlier threats to revoke visas on national security grounds. This signals a pragmatic compromise: economic benefits to American universities and academic prestige outweigh blanket visa restrictions.

This stance contrasts with prior suggestions from officials like Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who previously advocated revoking student visas for individuals linked to the Chinese Communist Party. The administration appears to be threading a policy needle—upholding national security without forfeiting billions in foreign tuition revenue.

What’s Next for U.S.-China Relations?

This agreement marks a recalibration rather than an end to U.S.-China tensions. While tariffs remain steep, the asymmetry favors American leverage. The rare earth pledge suggests a longer-term shift in China’s resource diplomacy, likely shaped by supply chain pressures and domestic unrest among Chinese manufacturers.

Yet the deal’s ultimate impact will depend on enforcement and follow-through. With global markets watching, any delay in rare earth delivery or tariff implementation could reignite tensions. For now, however, Trump has reasserted economic leverage while leaving room for educational and diplomatic continuity.

Let me know if you’d like a visual breakdown of tariff rates or a sector-by-sector analysis of rare earth dependencies.